Showing posts with label Momentum Trading. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Momentum Trading. Show all posts

Monday, November 18, 2013

Simple Passive Momentum Trading with Bollinger Band

Below, you can see a simple trading algorithm based on momentum and bollinger band on Quantopian.com

# Simple Passive Momentum Trading with Bollinger Band
import numpy as np
import statsmodels.api as stat
import statsmodels.tsa.stattools as ts

# globals for batch transform decorator
R_P = 1 # refresh period in days
W_L = 30 # window length in days
lookback=22
def initialize(context):
    context.stock = sid(24) # Apple (ignoring look-ahead bias)
    # for long and shorting 
    context.max_notional = 1000000
    context.min_notional = -1000000.0
    # set a fixed slippage
    set_slippage(slippage.FixedSlippage(spread=0.01))
                
def handle_data(context, data):
    # find moving average 
    rVal=getMeanStd(data)

    # lets dont do anything if we dont have enough data yet    
    if rVal is None:
        return    
    
    meanPrice,stdPrice = rVal
    price=data[context.stock].price
    notional = context.portfolio.positions[context.stock].amount * price
    
    # Passive momentum trading where for trading signal, Z-score is estimated
    h=((price-meanPrice)/stdPrice)
    # Bollinger band, if price is out of 2 std of moving mean, than lets trade     
    if h>2 and notional < context.max_notional  :
       # long
       order(context.stock,h*1000)
    if h<-2 and notional > context.min_notional:
       # short
       order(context.stock,h*1000)
     
@batch_transform(window_length=W_L, refresh_period=R_P) 
def getMeanStd(datapanel):
    prices = datapanel['price']
    meanPrice=prices.mean()
    stdPrice=prices.std()
    if meanPrice is not None and stdPrice is not None :
        return (meanPrice, stdPrice)
    else:
        return None

Screen shot of the back testing result is:
Click here to run algorithm on Quantopian.com.